From 4 children, 2 women, and 4 men (total 10 people), 4 persons are chosen uniformly at random. What is the probability that exactly 2 of the selected persons are children?
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A11/21
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B9/21
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C10/21
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D5/21
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E3/7
Answer
Correct Answer: 9/21
Explanation
Introduction / Context:This is a hypergeometric selection: we draw a fixed-size subset without replacement from distinct groups and ask for exactly k from one group.
Given Data / Assumptions:
- Total population N = 10 (4 children, 6 adults).
- Sample size n = 4.
- Event: exactly 2 children in the sample.
Concept / Approach:Count ways to pick 2 from the 4 children and 2 from the 6 adults; divide by total ways to pick any 4 from 10.
Step-by-Step Solution:Favorable = C(4, 2) * C(6, 2) = 6 * 15 = 90.Total = C(10, 4) = 210.Probability = 90/210 = 3/7 = 9/21.
Verification / Alternative check:Reduce 90/210 by dividing numerator and denominator by 30 to obtain 3/7; the option list uses 21ths, so 9/21 matches.
Why Other Options Are Wrong:Other fractions do not simplify to 3/7 given these counts.
Common Pitfalls:Accidentally choosing 3 from one group and 1 from the other or forgetting to multiply the group combinations.
Final Answer:9/21